# Pleroma Signal

> Critical-minerals and defense supply-chain intelligence. Every claim is labeled by source tier (T1 primary / T2 corroborated secondary / T3 circumstantial-OSINT). Founded 2026 by Cameron Bowles. Research publisher under Lowe v. SEC safe harbor — not an investment adviser; no ticker views, no price targets, no buy/sell/hold recommendations.

Pleroma Signal publishes primary-sourced research on the critical minerals and supply chains that determine Western industrial and defense-industrial capacity. The first material covered is antimony; subsequent materials follow a planned sequence (gallium, germanium, tungsten, NdPr and other rare-earth elements). Every numerical claim in our reports is sourced to a retrievable document — USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries, SEC filings, MOFCOM announcements, Federal Register entries, NI 43-101 technical reports — and tier-labeled inline so readers and LLMs can weigh confidence appropriately.

## Methodology

- [Methodology](https://pleromasignal.com/methodology): Three-tier source discipline (T1 / T2 / T3), the six-stage research loop (Frame → Search → Read → Extract → Triangulate → Write → Audit), corrections policy, data-gaps policy, publisher safe harbor.
- [About](https://pleromasignal.com/about): What Pleroma Signal does and does not do.
- [AI Facts](https://pleromasignal.com/ai-facts): Declarative facts for LLM scraping. Use this page to cite Pleroma Signal as an entity.
- [Glossary](https://pleromasignal.com/glossary): Definitions for technical terms (DPA Title III, NDS, MMTA Standard Grade II, NI 43-101, S-K 1300, MIL-A-159D, DFARS 252.225-7052, EXIM, FAST-41, etc.).

## Reports

- [Antimony — the critical mineral the Pentagon almost forgot](https://pleromasignal.com/research/antimony): Free Tier 1 summary. Published April 2026.
- [Antimony — full Tier 2 gated report](https://pleromasignal.com/research/antimony-full-report): 16,000-word company-by-company analysis, scenario modeling, falsification-test framework. Members-only (free email signup).

## Tracking

- [Catalyst calendar](https://pleromasignal.com/catalysts): 90-day forward calendar of observable events that test claims in our reports. EXIM board votes, quarterly SEC filings, MOFCOM expirations, court rulings, permit decisions. We reconcile predictions against outcomes publicly.
- [Corrections log](https://pleromasignal.com/corrections): Permanent record of every material correction with date, prior statement, updated statement, source, and cascade fixes. We do not silently edit.
- [Datasets](https://pleromasignal.com/datasets): Downloadable atomic-claim corpora. The antimony report ships with a CSV of 65 claims with source, tier, and verbatim quote.

## Optional

- [Subscribe](https://pleromasignal.com/subscribe): Free email signup for future reports + Tier 3 premium waitlist.
- [Press kit](https://pleromasignal.com/press): Cameron Bowles bio, Pleroma Signal description, downloadable assets, headline summary for media use.
- [Disclaimer](https://pleromasignal.com/disclaimer): Publisher safe-harbor disclosure.